Wednesday, 8 August 2012

MLB - Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics ESPN 8.30pm

'Beginning the 2012 season at Double-A Midland, Straily has been pitching out of his mind. In 14 starts spanning 85.1 innings, he posted a 3.38 ERA and 1.09 WHIP while registering an 11.39 K/9 and 2.43 BB/9. His overall dominance led to a promotion to Triple-A Sacramento in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League, where it’s been more of the same: 1.36 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 11.38 K/9 and 2.38 BB/9 in 53 innings.

Straily’s overwhelming success isn’t a product of luck. Rather, he possesses an arsenal of three above-average to plus offerings that are commanded with near precision.' Mike Rosenbaum on August 3, 2012 - Bleacher Report

You can have him as a home dog at 2.28 against Zack Greinke who has hit a rough patch - 1.43/5.14 WHIP/ERA L3.

Straily must be the bet.

Pick: Oakland A's @ 2.28

Tuesday, 7 August 2012

MLB - Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox ESPN 12am

Dempster got bent over in his first start after arriving at the Rangers, but he's a better pitcher than that and he's certainly having a better season than Lester who is really struggling.

Texas are the value.

Pick: Texas Rangers @ 2.00

Sunday, 5 August 2012

MLB - Milwaukee Brewers at St Louis Cardinals ESPN 1am

The Brewers are stinking it up on the road and are hitting .228 on the season away from Miller Park; Marco Estrada just stinks.

The Cards are pushing for the wildcard; Lohse has been solid and is really tough at home.

St Louis have scored 37 runs L5 and are hitting .290 vs righties (this lineup is hitting Estrada at a .327 clip) and plated six runs or more in six of their last eight at Busch Stadium.

I'll give the runs.

Pick: St Louis Cardinals -1.5 @ 2.25

MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds ESPN 6pm

Two solid pitchers L3 and a Reds' bullpen that is aces.

I'll take Under here.

Pick: Under 8 @ 1.91

Friday, 3 August 2012

MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds ESPN 12am

I'm looking forward to this one as these two fight it out down the stretch. Latos has nice numbers against the Pirates this season, but with Votto and Phillips (probably) still out, I do get nervous, despite the fact that the offense seemingly hasn't missed a beat and the Reds are, well, red hot.

Contrast Rodriguez, who has weak numbers L3 and a 6.35 ERA against tonight's opposition.

I've got a buddy who says in a Divisional matchup between first and second in the latter half of the season, bet the dog, but he lives in a shelter in downtown Baltimore.

When Latos last took on the Pirates, he didn't give up an earned run (he's never given up more than 2 against them) and struck out 11. I'm going to take on the runline and hope Rodriguez and Latos stay with their numbers and the Reds can put up some runs.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 @ 2.55

Thursday, 2 August 2012

Thursday's Live MLB - 3 Games ESPN 5.30pm - 8.30pm - 12am

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds 5.30pm

Cincinnati are rolling, there are echoes of The Big Red Machine, which is all the more remarkable given that Joey Votto is out and Brandon Phillips looks as though he'll be missing too.

Johnny Cueto has been solid and his splits at home are excellent. Ross Ohlendorf has nice numbers L3, but his numbers against the Reds and on the road are less encouraging.

Difficult to wring any value out of the market, but I'll try to ride that home team momentum.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 @ 2.1


New York Mets at San Francisco Giants 8.30pm


The Giants aren't hitting, and although Young hasn't been great L3, he's traditionally done OK in San Francisco, although it's three years since he pitched in AT&T Park.

I'll rely on those elements and Zito's good form, to take this Under.
Pick: Under 7.5 @ 2.00

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals 12am


Cole Hamels owns the Nats and he's the value here.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies @ 2.04

Wednesday, 1 August 2012

MLB - Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins ESPN 6pm

Gimme left handed rookies who are home dogs. It's not the perfect situation (the White Sox have seen him before) but Scott Diamond has got good numbers L3 and looks the value here.

Pick: Minnesota Twins @ 2.10