After crawling out of the burning wreckage of last week, I have to like Washington in this one.
Although Ponder is the Vikes' best option under center, he's strictly a game manager and the loss of Kyle Rudolph will hurt against a very beatable secondary. While Peterson is always going to put up numbers (he WILL score tonight) he will have to cope with the loss of Phil Loadholt and Charlie Johnson blocking up front for him and the Minnesota O line looks shaky.
Washington looked to be getting their offense rolling last week and can continue against an underwhelming Vikings' defense. Griffin seems to be moving ok and Morris is carrying nicely, and if you add in Garcon, Reed and Hankerson and there seems more balance to their offense.
All Shanny has to do is call the game right.
Pick: Washington Redskins -1 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Adrian Peterson @ 6.5
Pick: Anytime TD Leonard Hankerson @ 3.75; Pierre Garcon @ 2.5; Jordan Reed @ 3
Thursday, 7 November 2013
Monday, 4 November 2013
Live NFL - Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers 1.40am Eurosport
Laying double digits on MNF - fearless.
The Packers WILL blowout the hapless Bears.
Pick: Green Bay Packers -9.5 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Eddie Lacy @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Jarrett Boykin @ 2.75
The Packers WILL blowout the hapless Bears.
Pick: Green Bay Packers -9.5 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Eddie Lacy @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Jarrett Boykin @ 2.75
Sunday, 3 November 2013
Live NFL - Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans 1.30am Channel 4
Sometimes, you bite the bear and sometimes ...
I'm going to take the home team on prime time on one of the craziest nights in a crazy season.
The Texans have plenty of talent, but like the Colts, have key injuries on offense - as well as losing Cushing on D. This really depends on who copes best, and I'll look for the home team to step up.
Pick: Houston Texans +1 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Coby Fleener @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD DeAndre Hopkins @ 2.7
I'm going to take the home team on prime time on one of the craziest nights in a crazy season.
The Texans have plenty of talent, but like the Colts, have key injuries on offense - as well as losing Cushing on D. This really depends on who copes best, and I'll look for the home team to step up.
Pick: Houston Texans +1 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Coby Fleener @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD DeAndre Hopkins @ 2.7
Live NFL - Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders 9pm Sky Sports
Welcome to the Black Hole.
The Raiders will blitz Foles all day today to test his mettle, and with 21 sacks from 13 players, Foles is going to struggle (he won't beat you with his legs, making him a static target) to reinvigorate a stuttering Eagles offense that relies heavily on the run - something Oakland stops. Has the Chip Kelly shine gone off the gameplan? I think so.
Terrelle Pryor isn't a strong passer, but he brings other weapons to the party which can destabilise a defense and with McFadden changing things up and running hard (note the Eagles can stuff the run too) Pryor should be able to put points on a horrible secondary.
Pick: Oakland Raiders -1.5 @ 1.95
Pick: Under 45.5 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Terrelle Pryor @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Oakland D/ST @ 5.5
The Raiders will blitz Foles all day today to test his mettle, and with 21 sacks from 13 players, Foles is going to struggle (he won't beat you with his legs, making him a static target) to reinvigorate a stuttering Eagles offense that relies heavily on the run - something Oakland stops. Has the Chip Kelly shine gone off the gameplan? I think so.
Terrelle Pryor isn't a strong passer, but he brings other weapons to the party which can destabilise a defense and with McFadden changing things up and running hard (note the Eagles can stuff the run too) Pryor should be able to put points on a horrible secondary.
Pick: Oakland Raiders -1.5 @ 1.95
Pick: Under 45.5 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Terrelle Pryor @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Oakland D/ST @ 5.5
Live NFL - New Orleans Saints at New York Jets 6pm Sky Sports
The Saints like to take the ball away (+8 differential) and the Jets like to give it away (-12)
The Jets get beaten deep, a lot, and Drew Brees leads the NFL in 20+ yard passes downfield.
Rob Ryan has transformed the Saints' defense and now, while the Saints score a lot (28.0 points per game) they're also among the best in terms of points allowed (17.1)
Brees will be challenged (if the Saints ever sort that interior offensive line they'll be golden) and New York can stop the run, but the New Orleans QB is just too good - if Andy Dalton can shred the Jets' secondary, Drew Brees can put up better than a TD advantage.
Pick: New Orleans Saints -6 @ 1.91*
Pick: 1st TD Jimmy Graham @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Kenny Stills @ 3.1
*A Saints/Raiders double looks attractive.
The Jets get beaten deep, a lot, and Drew Brees leads the NFL in 20+ yard passes downfield.
Rob Ryan has transformed the Saints' defense and now, while the Saints score a lot (28.0 points per game) they're also among the best in terms of points allowed (17.1)
Brees will be challenged (if the Saints ever sort that interior offensive line they'll be golden) and New York can stop the run, but the New Orleans QB is just too good - if Andy Dalton can shred the Jets' secondary, Drew Brees can put up better than a TD advantage.
Pick: New Orleans Saints -6 @ 1.91*
Pick: 1st TD Jimmy Graham @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Kenny Stills @ 3.1
*A Saints/Raiders double looks attractive.
Thursday, 31 October 2013
Live NFL - Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins 12.25am Sky Sports
Ryan Tannehill is getting the hell beaten out of him (the most sacked QB in football) and the Bengals gave Geno Smith a torrid time last week. Tannehill has lost Brandon Gibson, limiting his options downfield, unless Mike Williams can begin to earn his money. The Fins have Hartline and Clay underneath, and Lamar Miller out of the backfield, but this is a tough Cincinnati front in terms of the pass rush and defending the run.
Andy Dalton went bananas last week, and Marvin Jones went and caught four touchdowns; then there's A J Green, Tyler Eifert and Jermaine Gresham in the mix and Giovani Bernard up the gut. It won't be the turkey shoot of last week, with Miami sure to put up more fight than the Jets, especially on primetime, but nonetheless, Cincinnati look cracking value giving up a field goal.
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -3 @ 2
Pick: 1st TD Giovani Bernard @ 15
Pick: Anytime TD Cincinnati D/ST @ 4.5; Marvin Jones @ 2.7
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATS (21-18, +3.39)
Totals (8-7, +0.40)
1st TD (6-23, +25.5)
Anytime TD (23-38, -3.41)
(+25.88)
Andy Dalton went bananas last week, and Marvin Jones went and caught four touchdowns; then there's A J Green, Tyler Eifert and Jermaine Gresham in the mix and Giovani Bernard up the gut. It won't be the turkey shoot of last week, with Miami sure to put up more fight than the Jets, especially on primetime, but nonetheless, Cincinnati look cracking value giving up a field goal.
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -3 @ 2
Pick: 1st TD Giovani Bernard @ 15
Pick: Anytime TD Cincinnati D/ST @ 4.5; Marvin Jones @ 2.7
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATS (21-18, +3.39)
Totals (8-7, +0.40)
1st TD (6-23, +25.5)
Anytime TD (23-38, -3.41)
(+25.88)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)