Hubris meant the Pats burned me last week, but I figured the Colts had enough to score sufficient points to stay close ... Clang!!
Here it's the Legion of Boom against Tom Terrific and the Gronk and it should be a riveting watch. My suspicion is that the Seahawks are just a bit too one dimensional on the offensive side to get it done (who better than Belichick to key on Lynch/Wilson?) and that Brady will be able to test Seattle's D at so many pressure points that it will break.
New England to edge it.
Pick: New England Patriots @ 2.05
Pick: Under 47 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD LaGarrette Blount @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Russell Wilson @ 3
Pick: Total Rushing Yards Marshawn Lynch Under 90.5 @ 1.91
Sunday, 1 February 2015
Sunday, 18 January 2015
Live NFL - Conference Championship - Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots 11.40pm Sky Sports
Everybody loves the Pats.
However, Luck has really come of age and if they can limit Gronk and the ground attack, the Colts may even progress. There's nice balance either side of the ball, and there's just too many points on offer.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts +7 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD LaGarrette Blount @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 2.1
However, Luck has really come of age and if they can limit Gronk and the ground attack, the Colts may even progress. There's nice balance either side of the ball, and there's just too many points on offer.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts +7 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD LaGarrette Blount @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 2.1
Live NFL - Conference Championship - Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks 8.05pm Sky Sports
After hitting every game last week (we had porridge with milk for breakfast!) let's see what we can do as we get to the business end.
The number has bounced about a bit, but settled at -8 on the home team.
Ordinarily, this would be an automatic bet on the dog, but Rodgers' injury and the Seahawks' ferocious front seven combine to make me think that the Packers will struggle - especially if it rains. The change up to Eddie Lacy might not help as the Seattle run defense is just as aggressive, so it's Rodgers with a torn calf against the Legion of Doom on a tear.
I expect Seattle to pound the rock with Lynch; Green Bay gave up 145/1 to Dallas last week on the ground and Wilson might find room too against a Green Bay D that doesn't cope well with mobile QBs.
Keep stakes small, but I like Seattle.
Pick: Seattle Seahawks -8 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 7
Pick: Anytime TD Russell Wilson @ 2.62
The number has bounced about a bit, but settled at -8 on the home team.
Ordinarily, this would be an automatic bet on the dog, but Rodgers' injury and the Seahawks' ferocious front seven combine to make me think that the Packers will struggle - especially if it rains. The change up to Eddie Lacy might not help as the Seattle run defense is just as aggressive, so it's Rodgers with a torn calf against the Legion of Doom on a tear.
I expect Seattle to pound the rock with Lynch; Green Bay gave up 145/1 to Dallas last week on the ground and Wilson might find room too against a Green Bay D that doesn't cope well with mobile QBs.
Keep stakes small, but I like Seattle.
Pick: Seattle Seahawks -8 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 7
Pick: Anytime TD Russell Wilson @ 2.62
Sunday, 11 January 2015
Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos 9.40pm Sky Sports
Denver are the better team, but Peyton's arm has been like wet spaghetti down the stretch - last time I backed the Broncos he was horrible - and they have a collection of injuries to key players (including Manning).
In contrast, Andrew Luck looked great against the Bengals, although he'll face a much tougher pass rush tonight. There's not much happening on the ground, so this may turn into a shootout - either way, I'd rather have the points.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts +8.5 @ 1.95
Pick: Over 53.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD C J Anderson @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 2.3
In contrast, Andrew Luck looked great against the Bengals, although he'll face a much tougher pass rush tonight. There's not much happening on the ground, so this may turn into a shootout - either way, I'd rather have the points.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts +8.5 @ 1.95
Pick: Over 53.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD C J Anderson @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 2.3
Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers 6pm Sky Sports
Money has come in Vegas for the dog and the line has come down as a result, but I still prefer Dallas plus the points.
I'm fading the Pack because I really don't like Rodger's injury status and I'm nervous about DeMarcus Murray catching out of the backfield. Green Bay have lots of offense and I'm keeping stakes small, but the Cowboys can keep this close.
Pick: Dallas Cowboys +6 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Eddie Lacy @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD Terrance Williams @ 3.25
I'm fading the Pack because I really don't like Rodger's injury status and I'm nervous about DeMarcus Murray catching out of the backfield. Green Bay have lots of offense and I'm keeping stakes small, but the Cowboys can keep this close.
Pick: Dallas Cowboys +6 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Eddie Lacy @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD Terrance Williams @ 3.25
Saturday, 10 January 2015
Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks 1.15am Sky Sports
The dream ends here for the Panthers. I expect Cam Newton to get beat up tonight and the ball hawking Legion of Boom for Seattle (good, huh?) may have a high old time.
Lynch is coming off a much needed rest and with Lotulelei out for the road team, beast mode should be turned up to 11, as will the crowd.
I never thought I'd ever give this number in a game of this importance and stakes should be low, but ...
Pick: Seattle Seahawks -11.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 6
Pick: Anytime TD Doug Baldwin @ 2.75
Lynch is coming off a much needed rest and with Lotulelei out for the road team, beast mode should be turned up to 11, as will the crowd.
I never thought I'd ever give this number in a game of this importance and stakes should be low, but ...
Pick: Seattle Seahawks -11.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 6
Pick: Anytime TD Doug Baldwin @ 2.75
Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots 9.35pm Sky Sports
Historically, the Ravens cover against New England in the post-season, but much will depend which Flacco gets off the Baltimore team bus at Foxborough and whether the Ravens can get the run going.
The Patriots will score as Brady has too many weapons deep and the visitor's pass rush won't be as effective this week, but I like a form team getting a TD in such a big game. If they do cover, the total should go under.
Pick: Baltimore Ravens +7 @ 1.91
Pick: Under 47.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Justin Edelman @ 11
Pick: Anytime TD Justin Forsett @ 2.1
The Patriots will score as Brady has too many weapons deep and the visitor's pass rush won't be as effective this week, but I like a form team getting a TD in such a big game. If they do cover, the total should go under.
Pick: Baltimore Ravens +7 @ 1.91
Pick: Under 47.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Justin Edelman @ 11
Pick: Anytime TD Justin Forsett @ 2.1
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