Monday, 29 April 2013

Live MLB - Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves ESPN 12am

Strasburg has been unlucky this season, pitching well enough, but not getting any run support. Worryingly, he has traditionally struggled in Atlanta and Teheran was strong last time out in Colorado.

However, looking at Jeff Sagarin's NPERA we see Strasburg at 2.86 and Teheran at 6.27. Teheran also gave up five runs in 5IP in his only home start this year. The Braves are on a four game slide, so I'll take some of the 2.4 on offer for the Nats on the runline.

Pick: Washington Nationals -1.5 @ 2.4

 17-19 (-1.52)

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