Matt Harvey owns the Phillies (he's never given up more than 2 runs against them) and he's been outstanding this season. However, Philadelphia own the Mets, having won 10 of the last 12 against New York, including six of the last seven, with a 44-22 score differential.
Lannan's figures against the Mets aren't too shabby, but he'd better go deep into the game, because the home team's bullpen has been awful, going 2.19/8.24 L3.
The Mets should take this behind Harvey, but I can't have them at the price, so I'll go Under with both pitchers facing teams they've kept in check before.
Pick: Under 7.5 @ 1.91
41 - 45 (-3.22)
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