Manning vs Luck ... this should be a belter.
It's never easy to play in Denver, but it's further complicated for the road team with the loss of their premier pass rusher against an offense like the Broncos'. Welker is missing (more idiocy) but Peyton Manning still looks downfield at Julius Thomas, Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. I like the positional changes along the Broncos' O line and their acquisitions on defense.
Andrew Luck has proved an outstanding replacement for the man he faces tonight, and he has some talented receivers to throw to; Reggie Wayne is back, as is Dwayne Allen, and Hakeem Nicks has been added to T Y Hilton. Trent Richardson will get touches, but I've a feeling Luck will have to take on and beat Denver with his arm - the big problem there is that he will be under the pump all night behind a poor O line with DeMarcus Ware and Von Miller bringing enormous pressure.
I'll give the Colts 7.5.
Pick: Denver Broncos - 7.5
Pick: 1st TD Julius Thomas @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 3
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