Belichick's New England's usual approach to Manning's Denver is to make the Broncos win it on the ground. Last year Denver took huge gains running but came up short, this year however, with New England struggling deep, and receivers in such good form, I expect Manning to take the challenge and beat the Pats with his arm, while mixing it up with Ronnie Hillman on the ground.
The Broncos pass rush will come after Brady, but with the Gronk back on the strength there'll be some challenges for Denver's LB corps, especially if Tom Terrific looks as happy in the pocket as he did last week.
Denver edges a great game. I expect points.
Pick: Denver Broncos -3 @ 1.95
Pick: Over 52.5 @ 2.0
Pick: 1st TD Ronnie Hillman @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Wes Welker @ 3.4
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