Monday, 16 November 2015

Live NFL - Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals 1.25am

I haven't seen a football weekend like this in a long, long time. ATS picks hammering SU, Manning benched, the Pack turned over like Rousey in the colonies; madness right through the card. I had 27 bets this weekend. I won 9 and was pretty relieved. Awful.

The Bengals have a run at it all, but the Texans have some game on the defensive side - their problem is deep and if the Texans don't get to Dalton (a tough ask with the Cincinnati front four) they could be in deep trouble.

The Bengals play my least favourite defensive philosophy of 'bend but don't break' so they give up the occasional big play, rarely blitz and can give up garbage time scores.

All this means that giving a bunch of points on national TV looks too risky.

It's the MNF dog. Good luck! :)

Pick: Houston Texans +10 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Tyler Eifert @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD DeAndre Hopkins @ 2.3

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