Tuesday, 25 September 2012

NFL - Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks BBC Red Button 1.30am

This should be a tough go for the Pack; the Seahawks have a solid defense, CenturyLink Field is a difficult place to go and Green Bay's offense has yet to come to life.

Seattle have an excellent secondary with pace and size at the corners. Up front, Chris Clemons and Red Bryant will cause all sorts of problems for a Packers O line that has struggled to protect Rodgers or open up any sort of run game. This means Green Bay will have to attack those corners and so far the Packers' talented receiving corps have not run their routes well and put the ball on the floor too often.

If the Packers face a challenge on offense, the same can be said for the home team. The options deep aren't great and there's no sign of the coaches looking to Russell Wilson to throw, so it's critical that they keep him out of third and long situations: they rely instead on Marshawn Lynch to smash it up the middle.


Green Bay didn't stop the run effectively in week one but showed some progress against Chicago, however Lynch will be a challenge. Seattle struggle in pass protection and one aspect of Green Bay's defense that has showed signs of life is the pass rush and I anticipate they'll get after Wilson - the Pack certainly won't want their secondary tested.


This is a difficult pick and the price isn't great. The Seahawks' win against Dallas shifted the line a couple of points to a field goal, but 1.8+ is skinny. That said, I can't invest in the Seattle offense just yet and the greater scope for improvement rests with the visitors who should win.


Pick: Green Bay Packers -3 @ 1.87
Pick: Buy Green Bay Sacks @ 3.1

Pick: 1st TD Jermichael Finley @ 10
Pick: Anytime TD Jermichael Finley @ 2.20

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