Sunday, 25 November 2012

Live NFL San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints Sky Sports 9.30pm

I said at the beginning of the season that I thought the Saints would be OK, despite 'Bountygate' - only for New Orleans to look completely lost. Luckily, they seem to have put that behind them now and are building up a head of steam that could see them go above .500 with a win today.

Colin Kaepernick was outstanding last week; with a straightforward gameplan, he executed and the 49ers offense looked great. The Saints defense will find it difficult tonight, with an offense with power on the ground and targets deep that can get plenty of separation against guys like Patrick Robinson and Jabari Greer.


New Orleans need to pressure Kaepernick, but they don't have much of a pass rush. Frank gore will be going up against Jonathan Vilma, Curtis Lofton and David Hawthorne - a linebacking corps that is improving (and getting fit) recently and this reflects the general improvement of the Saints on defense.


Drew Brees and his offense are beginning to look like who they ought to be, and although San Francisco are one of the toughest stop units around, if they have a weakness, it is vertically. I suspect what has been a promising New Orleans run game will be choked off, but deeper, Marques Colston, Jimmy Graham and Lance Moore could prosper.


The 49ers are shifting time zones off a short week against a powerful offense that has momentum. It should be a great game, but I'll take the points.


Pick: New Orleans Saints +2 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Jimmy Graham @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Michael Crabtree @ 2.1

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