Live NFL - Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Sky Sports 1am

In my season preview, Green Bay was one of my picks to win it all (for the record, my post-season picks were: AFC Champions - Patriots. NFC Champions - Packers. Super Bowl - Packers; Texans) and I'm going to roll with the Pack here, although this is a lot of points to give a side with Adrian Peterson in it.

The Vikings aren't exactly a mystery on offense: over the last 10 games of the season, Peterson ran for 1598 yards, Christian Ponder only threw for 1501! Green Bay has surrendered over 400 rushing yards to Minnesota this season. Peterson's heroics last week however, saw him carry the ball a season-high 34 times, and now he plays off a short week. It appears AD is superhuman, but that's a hell of an ask. Also, Peterson hasn't found Green Bay a happy hunting ground; the Packers have won five of the six meetings at Lambeau Field in Peterson's career, despite him putting up an average of 106 yards and scoring five touchdowns - even where he goes over 100 yards, the Vikings are still 0-3.

Beyond Peterson, there's little to get excited about on the Vikes' offense, particularly playing in the open air. Ponder is a combined 80-of-142 for 693 yards, four touchdowns, six interceptions and two lost fumbles in four games outside and the weather in Lambeau couldn't be further from the delightful, controlled climate of the Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome. As it is, at some point he'll have to air out the ball and Kyle Rudolph, Jarius Wright, Michael Jenkins and Jerome Simpson hardly inspire: the loss of Percy Harvin is a considerable blow.

Green Bay are getting fit on both sides of the ball; Clay Matthews is getting fitter and Charles Woodson is back. The former will come after Ponder and is capable of causing havoc. A big game from B.J. Raji would help and he's been looking strong recently. On offense, the home team are going into this game with a full slate of receivers for the first time and with Antoine Winfield struggling, Jordy Nelson (carrying an injury), Randall Cobb, Greg Jennings and Jermichael Finley are a difficult unit to control. Jared Allen and Brian Robison gave Don Barclay a terrible time last game and Green Bay will have to keep Aaron Rodgers upright, even with his skill at extending plays. A strong run game would help, but in truth the Pack are still struggling to put together some plays out of the backfield. however, DuJuan Harris looks promising, and with the Vikings concentrating on the pass, don't be surprised to see him make a couple of decent runs.

Someone other than Peterson has to get involved in the Vikes' offense and Minnesota just don't have enough to dominate a Green Bay side in Lambeau who will doubtless put up points.

Pick: Green Bay Packers -8 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Randall Cobb @ 10
Pick: Anytime TD DuJuan Harris @ 2.62; Greg Jennings @ 2.2