Thursday, 13 December 2012

Live NFL - Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles Sky Sports 1.20am

Nick Foles has shown some talent since starting and had a monster game last week, but he may find that passing for yards tonight will be a little trickier. The primary reason will be the Bengals' pass rush, Cincinnati lead the NFL in sacks. Geno Atkins look like the best defensive tackle in football and will give the Eagles' O line a tough time with his speed; deeper, the Bengals are well organised.
Bryce Brown will be the lead back again, and should see more of the ball tonight to take the pressure off Foles, but the Cincinnati front seven is a decent unit against the run. The upshot is that the Eagles may struggle to move the chains consistently.

The Bengals will come up against a Philadelphia defense that showed better last week after a coaching change and jettisoning the wide-nine. The Cincinnati O line is solid and the Eagles aren't great pass rushers; the Eagles also have problem in the secondary where Nnamdi Asomugha faces what may be a long night. The Benglas also match up nicely in the slot, where Hawkins and Gresham should find room to operate.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been something of a revelation and Cincinnati should feed him the ball tonight because the Eagles can give up yards on the ground and should do tonight against a capable runner behind a decent O line.

I like the Bengals' balance on both sides of the ball and, although I'm not a great fan of situational gambling, Cincinnati need to win to keep their season alive. I'll give the points.

Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -4 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Jermaine Gresham @ 12
Pick: Anytime TD Andrew Hawkins @ 2.62

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