Saturday, 15 December 2012

Live NFL - Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears Sky Sports 6pm

Week 15 NFL Trixie
A couple of the live games this week can be added to a bet I like, to make for an interesting little multiple for Christmas:

GB -2.5
NYG +1.5
Pit -2

Pays approx. 5.5

Pack @ Bears

The Bears are sliding and now meet a team that seems to have the sign over their QB. Jay Cutler is 1-6 against the Packers, going 115-of-216 for 1,383 yards, seven touchdowns and seventeen, count 'em, seventeen interceptions.

Added to this, Chicago are carrying a number of key injuries, particularly on defense, where Brian Urlacher, Tim Jennings, Lance Briggs and Henry Melton are out or injured. Aaron Rodgers hasn't exactly had the visitor's offense purring this season, but they look like it's coming together with Randall Cobb stepping up, Jennings coming back and the sudden arrival of a running game. Green Bay's O line has been poor, but the Bears' injuries will help, and Rodgers should see the matchups he wants downfield.

Chicago had a terrible time against the Packers' defense in week 2; Cutler went 11-of-27 for 126 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions, while getting sacked seven times. Unfortunately, Cutler is injured now and it looks as though Clay Matthews is back. It's likely therefore, that Cutler will be under pressure for much of the game, limiting the pass, which is a shame because Brandon Marshall is on fire. So, Matt Forte must give Cutler a run game to slow down the Green Bay D. The Pack have given up yards in their last three games, but they have the wherewithal to minimise the damage.

This looks ominous for the Bears, and as long as Forte doesn't have a career day, I like Green Bay to cover less than a field goal.

Pick: Green Bay -2.5 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Alex Green @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD Green Bay DST @ 4.5; Matt Forte @ 2 (Corals)

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