Laying double digits in the NFL is the way to the
poorhouse and in Divisional matchups, it may have you living in a ditch by
year's end.
This is a horrible game to cap, with both sides
struggling and/or injured on offense, and a couple of defenses who are solid.
New England are down to the bare bones on offense. Danny
Amendola, Rob Gronkowski, Zach Sudfeld and Shane Vereen lead the list of
probable absentees, limiting the options through the air and on the ground. How do
Julian Edelman, Kenbrell Thompkins, Aaron Dobson and Josh Boyce grab ya?
Stevan Ridley will likely be the running game, but his
benching last week for an untouched fumble doesn't bode well.
No coach/QB combination adapts like Belichick/Brady, but
they'll have their work cut out here against a talented young Jets front and
Rex Ryan's capable corners.
The New York offense will also struggle on the ground,
going up against Tommy Kelly and Vince Wilfork, and rookie quarterback Geno
Smith will be throwing to Stephen Hill and Santonio Holmes; I expect Kellen Winslow to
have a busy night as Smith's outlet. This is a big game for the rookie QB and he
looked a little error-prone in his first start, so he'll need to be on his
game.
With two suspect offenses the Unders looks attractive and
the number has come in as the week has gone on. Add in the bad weather
forecast, it looks the best value bet in a game I'd avoid.
I'm betting here on the Pats' sideline and trigger man,
because they've made a silk purse out of enough sows' ears over the years to earn
my trust. Also, everyone is smashing into the Jets and I like to oppose the
herd!
Pick: New England Patriots -11 @ 1.95
Pick: Under 43 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Kenbrell Thompkins @ 11
Pick: Anytime TD NE D/ST @ 3.75
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