1. Not betting until Week Three is sound advice.
There are those who swear Week Five is when you should get seriously involved, but I think that's excessive. What is clear is that it's very difficult to know just how a team will come out of the gate.
2. Kaepernick is the real deal. I'd forgotten what a great arm has as, as well as his ability to run. If Gore and Hunter can carry on and Vernon Davis not disappear as he is wont to do, with that defense San Francisco can go deep into the postseason.
3. Robert Griffin on the other hand, looked rusty, and Shanahan might be questioning the decision not to give him an outing in preseason after such a long layoff.
4. Aaron Rodgers is Aaron Rodgers (!) Don't count him out.
5. The Broncos may be value even at the price.
6. 'If the Denver Broncos or San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl, we will refund all losing outright bets on Super Bowl XLVII.'
That offer from Paddy Power looks a fine proposition.
7. The San Diego Chargers will usually find a way to lose. Against a decidedly under par Houston Texans in the first half, they managed to put themselves in a position to win ... then blew it.
8. The Giants/Cowboys game was ugly and didn't tell us much apart from both teams look worth opposing.
9. Chip Kelly's offense is sufficiently high tempo to get journalists very excited and to wear out the Washingtons defense. It will be interesting to see if that pattern is repeated and the prices they generate.
10. In the modern game, Tight Ends are often overpriced in the 'anytime touchdown' market. (That's probably the most encouraging lesson so far.)
11. Matt Schaub to Andre Johnson.
12. Keep stakes small for the time being.
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