Sky Sports 2, December 4th, 9.15pm
You think the Giants can do it again, like ’98
against the Broncos and ’07 against the Patriots? Nah, me neither. It might be
nice to think that New York could break up another perfect season, but it looks
like they’re carrying too many key injuries on defense to stop Green Bay’s
juggernaut; Jason Pierre-Paul is outstanding, but he’s missing his buddy Osi Umenyiora. Justin Tuck is banged up and the
line has been shuffled by Tom Coughlin. Rodgers will be merciless.
Eli Manning will likely be drawn into a shootout in
an attempt to keep up, and Green Bay can give up plays downfield, but they do
have a decent pass rush and are solid enough at the corners; Manningham being
nicked up is a loss, but there’s still talent out wide. It’s doubtful that
there’s enough, however. On the ground the Giants might see some success, with Green
Bay giving up yards and carrying injuries at linebacker; the problem is that if
they fall too far behind, the run comes out of the playbook.
The worry betting ATS with the Pack is that they
tend to slow down at the end of the game and an easy cover suddenly becomes a
tense 10 minutes as their ‘bend but don’t break’ defense sees the opposition
driving without much trouble. However, there’s a little wrinkle here; if Green
Bay win this one, they actually take the NFC North title and I’ll take that pot
of gold to keep Aaron and his boys’ eye on the prize.
I’ve analysed the key players in this game so many
times that another long write up is probably useless (as if it was ever
anything else!) but I’ll trust in the Pack to put on one more show to clinch.
Pick: Packers -7 @ 2.00; 100; Evens
Pick: 1st TD Greg Jennings @ 8.00; 700;
7/1
Pick: Anytime TD Packers Defense @ 4.00; 300; 3/1
Pick: Anytime TD John Kuhn @ 2.75; 175; 7/4
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