Saturday, 24 December 2011

NFL - Philadelphia (6-8) at Dallas (8-6)


Sky Sports, Christmas Eve, 9.15pm

If the Giants have beaten the Jets earlier in the day, the Eagles are done for the season; if not, well, I think they come out on top here.

The Philadelphia run is a big threat tonight; obviously Vick is always a danger when he scrambles, but LeSean McCoy has been ripping it up of late and will test a stout Cowboys’ run defense, this means that if they get it going on the ground, when Vick chooses to attack Dallas on the back end, players may have committed further up field – Vick went 21/28 for 279yds and 2 TD in week 8 and if he puts up those numbers again, the Cowboys will struggle.

That’s not to say Dallas is on the back foot here, they’re slightly favoured at home and that’s not a surprise with the weapons at Romo’s disposal. However, the Cowboys must balance the offense out by establishing the run, and with Jones dinged up, that may be a problem, because the Eagles’ pass rush seems to be building some momentum and Dallas are not affording Romo as much protection as he liked; once again, Witten will be vital as an outlet when the hammer’s down, but if Romo can get it out, he still has Robinson, Austin and Bryant who can take advantage of the Eagles’ questionable safeties.

If the Jets win, roll with Philly; if not, take Dallas.

Pick: 1st TD Michael Vick @ 17; 1600; 16/1
Pick: Anytime TD Jason Witten @ 2.6; 160; 8/5

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