Sunday 11 November 2012

Live NFL - Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Sky Sports 6pm

Those of you sitting in your second homes and ski lodges, financed by my baseball and football picks, will scarcely need reminding that I rarely make a losing selection, and even if I do, I'm not one of those people who curses his luck or trots out some lame excuse ... but the Eagles really stank it up against the Saints last week and should've won!

My view of the Saints' defensive side of the ball is the same: they're awful. If Vick and his O line hadn't completely collapsed (Andy Reid sucked too, incidentally) New Orleans' season would be done. As it is, they won't be able to get to Matt Ryan with such ease today (he has better protection and a sharper release) and Julio Jones, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez should make hay. The Falcons can change it up with Michael Turner who is putting up solid, if unspectacular numbers in his footballing dotage.


The New Orleans Saints do have a fine offense of course, and last week saw them begin to find real rhythm. Jimmy Graham is getting fit, and Brees was ruthless over the middle against the hapless Eagles and Atlanta have given up receiving yards this season (if not TDs) so expect the TE to find the endzone. With Darren Sproles probably out, it's RBBC in the backfield - look for Ivory close in.


The defenses look like the tiebreaker here and so the preference must be for the visitors.


Pick: Atlanta Falcons -1 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Jimmy Graham @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD Chris Ivory @ 3.25

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