Live NFL - Conference Championship - Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots 11.40pm Sky Sports

Everybody loves the Pats.

However, Luck has really come of age and if they can limit Gronk and the ground attack, the Colts may even progress. There's nice balance either side of the ball, and there's just too many points on offer.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts +7 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD LaGarrette Blount @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 2.1

Live NFL - Conference Championship - Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks 8.05pm Sky Sports

After hitting every game last week (we had porridge with milk for breakfast!) let's see what we can do as we get to the business end.

The number has bounced about a bit, but settled at -8 on the home team.

Ordinarily, this would be an automatic bet on the dog, but Rodgers' injury and the Seahawks' ferocious front seven combine to make me think that the Packers will struggle - especially if it rains. The change up to Eddie Lacy might not help as the Seattle run defense is just as aggressive, so it's Rodgers with a torn calf against the Legion of Doom on a tear.

I expect Seattle to pound the rock with Lynch; Green Bay gave up 145/1 to Dallas last week on the ground and Wilson might find room too against a Green Bay D that doesn't cope well with mobile QBs.

Keep stakes small, but I like Seattle.

Pick: Seattle Seahawks -8 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 7
Pick: Anytime TD Russell Wilson @ 2.62

Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos 9.40pm Sky Sports

Denver are the better team, but Peyton's arm has been like wet spaghetti down the stretch - last time I backed the Broncos he was horrible - and they have a collection of injuries to key players (including Manning).

In contrast, Andrew Luck looked great against the Bengals, although he'll face a much tougher pass rush tonight. There's not much happening on the ground, so this may turn into a shootout - either way, I'd rather have the points.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts +8.5 @ 1.95
Pick: Over 53.5 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD C J Anderson @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 2.3

Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers 6pm Sky Sports

Money has come in Vegas for the dog and the line has come down as a result, but I still prefer Dallas plus the points.

I'm fading the Pack because I really don't like Rodger's injury status and I'm nervous about DeMarcus Murray catching out of the backfield. Green Bay have lots of offense and I'm keeping stakes small, but the Cowboys can keep this close.

Pick: Dallas Cowboys +6 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Eddie Lacy @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD Terrance Williams @ 3.25

Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks 1.15am Sky Sports

The dream ends here for the Panthers. I expect Cam Newton to get beat up tonight and the ball hawking Legion of Boom for Seattle (good, huh?) may have a high old time. 

Lynch is coming off a much needed rest and with Lotulelei out for the road team, beast mode should be turned up to 11, as will the crowd.

I never thought I'd ever give this number in a game of this importance and stakes should be low, but ...

Pick: Seattle Seahawks -11.5 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 6
Pick: Anytime TD Doug Baldwin @ 2.75

Live NFL - Divisional Weekend - Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots 9.35pm Sky Sports

Historically, the Ravens cover against New England in the post-season, but much will depend which Flacco gets off the Baltimore team bus at Foxborough and whether the Ravens can get the run going. 

The Patriots will score as Brady has too many weapons deep and the visitor's pass rush won't be as effective this week, but I like a form team getting a TD in such a big game. If they do cover, the total should go under.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens +7 @ 1.91
Pick: Under 47.5 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Justin Edelman @ 11
Pick: Anytime TD Justin Forsett @ 2.1

Live NFL - Wildcard Weekend - Detrots Lions at Dallas Cowboys 9.40pm Sky Sports

Matt Stafford needs to get the ball to megatron. Simple.

A good enough reason to bet the dog is that everybody loves the Cowboys, but that defense is genuinely worth opposing.

Pick: Detroit Lions +6.5 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Joique Bell @ 9
Pick: Anytime TD Jason Witten @ 2.75

Live NFL - Wildcard Weekend - Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts 6pm Sky Sports

Dalton is a liability and with Green out, the Bengals are going to pound the rock all day. The way Hill is playing and the way the Colts give up big yards on the ground suggests that Cincy should have some joy, but they have to be playing from in front, or not too far behind, because if Dalton has to throw, Cincinnati are done.

The Colts have staggered into the post-season and look spent, but now they're here, and at home, I expect them to show signs of life. However, it may not be enough. Indianapolis have struggled against decent teams this season, so I'll take the points.

Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +4 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Jeremy Hill @ 10*
Pick: Anytime TD T Y Hilton @ 1.91

(*I like this bet at Ladbrokes)

Live NFL - Wildcard Weekend - Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers 1.15am Sky Sports

With Le'Veon Bell going down, punters have got jittery about the Steelers' chances, but with the Ravens front pretty salty as it is, Roethlisberger was always going to have to get it done through the air. Baltimore's secondary is poor, so Antonio Brown and his buddies should move the chains.

Ben has to stay upright in the face of a tough pass rush, but I'll keep faith.

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -3 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Heath Miller @ 17
Pick: Anytime TD Martavis Bryant @ 2.5

Live NFL - Wildcard Weekend - Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers 9.35pm Sky Sports

Everybody is pounding the Panthers and the line has moved out to a TD in some places, after opening at -4.

This game has the look of a trappy, back door cover, but I just can't see the Cardinals mounting enough of a challenge.

Pick: Carolina Panthers -6.5 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Greg Olsen @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Cam Newton @ 2.75