I don't like teams resting starters (although I appreciate that if there was ever an exception, it would be Jamaal Charles, whose workload is extraordinary) but it always makes me nervous about the team's rhythm and momentum.
The Chiefs did so last week and have also looked poor down the stretch, so I have to favour the Colts here. The problem is, Charles may tear it up tonight against an Indianapolis run defense that has struggled against the run - it should be noted that the defense in general has improved of late and factors into the pick.
I like the Overs too, with the Chiefs taking their foot off the pedal last time these teams met, and the Colts enjoying the emergence of a ground game and TY Hilton proving a capable deep threat.
Pick: Indianapolis Colts @ 2.2
Pick: Over 46 @ 1.91
Pick: 1st TD Donald Brown @ 12
Pick: Anytime TD TY Hilton @ 2.5
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