The maxim that 'a pitcher is only as good as his last start', is worth
paying attention to, and where his last three starts have looked poor,
it's difficult to have much faith.
Kris Medlen has a 1.36/5.40 WHIP/ERA line L3. Homer Bailey has
posted a rather better 1.36/3.44, but that's still putting too many
runners on.
Hills are going Evens Over 7.5 and with those pitcher numbers in the Great American Ball Park, it's a value bet.
Lazaro Diaz is a marginal Overs umpire behind home and the weather seems sets fair.
Pick: Over 7.5 @ 2.0
23-23 (+1.2)
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