A difficult game to pick. Darvish is a beast and Houston are unlikely to
score any runs, but the price, even on the runline, is too short. There
was a time when I liked to bet any team longer than 3.0, but frankly
even that looks short here.
The Rangers are hitting lefties at .271 on the season (.254 L5) and
Houston are hitting an anaemic .175 L5 against righties ... before
Darvish rode into town.
I'd look at the total, but Bedard has been marginally better at home
and there's always the chance Texas will just start swinging for the
fences and Overs would be the bet.
Instead, I'm going to take a handicap bet and give 3 runs, to try and wring a little value out of a tough game.
Pick: Texas Rangers -3 @ 2.4
27-25 (+2.96)
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