Sunday 20 October 2013

Live NFL - Houston Texans at Kansas City 9.25am Sky Sports

I actually don't buy the Chiefs (6-0, shows what I know) but they are an aggressive, takeaway team and with the Texans' problems at QB, the home team are difficult to fade.

That said, presumably Case Keenum (who looks as though he'll start) will have a pretty straightforward gameplan, at least he'd better have, because Tamba Hali and Justin Houston will come marauding off the edge and the Chiefs' D will smell blood in the water tonight. Houston will pound the rock with Foster, but Kansas have tightened that aspect of their defense, so it'll be a tough go.

The Chiefs offense is a function of its defense in that they have the best average starting position in the NFL, so Alex Smith, as limited as he is, only needs to move it 30 yards to get into scoring position. Again, the run game will dominate, with Jamaal Charles effectively the whole Kansas offense.

I'd like to get on the Texans here, but the Kansas defense is just too scary for a rookie QB.

Oh, and this MUST go Under!!!

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 @ 1.95
Pick: Under 39.5 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Jamaal Charles @6.5
Pick: Anytime TD Arian Foster @ 2

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