Tough pick. Denver can't score an offensive point and yet their defense looks brutal. Manning almost looks done, but it's impossible to rule out a guy with that much talent and but for a couple of misses he would've got on the board.
Kansas put the Texans away last week, the garbage time scores flattered Houston, but the Chiefs struggled in pass protection and Denver can swarm all over Alex Smith. Crucially, Denver were tough against the run and the Kansas offense still goes through Jamaal Charles, despite signs of life in the pass game. If the run game stutters, the Chiefs are in trouble.
I try to avoid trends in football, I don't believe they're helpful, but it should be noted that Denvers has owned Kansas City recently, even at Arrowhead and even with Tebow under center.
I have to take the points and I'll buy the half. I also like the Under.
Pick: Denver Broncos +3.5 @ 1.85
Pick: Under 42.5 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Travis Kelce @ 11
Pick: Anytime TD Demaryius Thomas @ 2.5
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