Tuesday 29 September 2015

Live NFL - Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers 1.30am

Laying 5 points at home with Rodgers? The line touched 7 on Monday!

Kansas can do some damage with Jamaal Charles, but things have to work out for him (not least a HC who doesn't feed him the ball and he should avoid fumbling the game away) and the Packers handled Marshawn Lynch.

The big worry is if the Chiefs fall behind, Alex Smith will have to throw the pill to keep up and that's a risky proposition - it's worth noting that Kansas have not thrown a TD to a wide receiver in 18 games. Travis Kelce will get looks in the Red Zone and is worth some interest to score at 2.62.

Rodgers has a depleted cast, but I've got to lay 5 at Lambeau. I like the Over too.

Pick: Green Bay Packers -5 @ 2
Pick: Over 47.5 @ 1.91

Pick: 1st TD Jamaal Charles @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Travis Kelce @ 2.62

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