Thursday 6 December 2012

Live NFL - Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders Sky Sports 1.20am

A bit embarrassing, but having boldly told everyone I rarely give double digit points; I'm going to do it again the very next week.

Oakland are horrible defending the pass, and even worse against the run. They have little or no pass rush (Richard Seymour is also out) and a secondary that combines a lack of talent with a bad attitude in almost equal measure. The Raiders' run D has collapsed recently and Manning will be able to mix in doses of Knowshon Moreno at will, while picking out his talented deep targets.

The Denver defense is talented and well organised and Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil are likely to wreak havoc against an offensive line that has struggled to protect Carson Palmer, who will find it difficult to develop any sort of passing game with a receiving corps that has often looked on a different page to their triggerman. The Broncos are tough against the run too, so moving the chains may be a problem for the home team tonight.

Denver should blow the doors off the Raiders here.

Pick: Denver Broncos -10 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Knowshon Moreno @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Denver DST @ 4
Spread Bet: Buy Denver Sacks @ 2.9*


*I like this bet to win me enough for Christmas, but be aware, spread betting is highly volatile!

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