Sunday 30 December 2012

Live NFL - Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Sky Sports 9.25pm

Green Bay look as though they're hitting stride nicely as the post-season looms and this game will decide whether they get a first round bye. Minnesota need to win to make the post-season, so this should be a cracker.
Rodgers has finally got the offense ticking, but the Vikings' pass rush can bring pressure, so his offensive line needs to give him an opportunity to hit the talent Green Bay have in abundance downfield. Rodgers will have a miraculously rejuvenated Ryan Grant (in tandem with Alex Green) to fall back on in the run game and they'll be critical to keeping the Vikes off-balance.

Adrian Peterson. A player who had his knee rebuilt and promptly tears off a season that not only threatens a 2000yd season, but also Eric Dickerson's out of sight record of 2105. Again, the Packers' defense is on an upward curve and they'll doubtless stack the box to limit 'all-day', but he took them last time and I wouldn't want to oppose a big game from him tonight. Christian Ponder's role is mostly to hand it to Peterson and there are few options downfield - so Mike McCarthy will likely dare him to beat Green Bay with his arm and that seems a remote possibility.

The Packers have too many options on offense and can control things on defense. I'll give the points.

Pick: Green Bay Packers -3 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD: Greg Jennings @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Jermichael Finley @ 2.9

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