A tough pick, but this really hinges on whether Seattle can get Lynch rolling; if they do, I like them to cover.
Chicago have begun giving up chunks of yardage against the run, but
worryingly Marshawn Lynch had a poor game against the fins and he really
needs to dominate today to keep the chains moving and to keep Cutler
off the field. Rookie QB Russell Wilson has had a fine season, but his
options are limited downfield and it is to the Seahawks' credit that
they've got him in a system that gives him an opportunity to take shots
deep; beware though, that could be a weakness today, as the Bears can
bring pressure with four and force Wilson out of his comfort zone,
physically and mentally.
If ever the Chicago public needed confirmation that Cutler is their
best option to make plays behind that offensive line, then the last
couple of weeks should have provided it. However, the Bears lost guards
Chris Spencer and Lance Louis last week and Chris Clemons and Bruce
Irvin will be optimistic that they can get after Cutler. Deeper, Richard
Sherman and Brandon Browner are appealing their PED suspensions, and
with Forte out, or limited, Cutler's options are limited and given the
quality of the Seahawks' corners, even a talent like Brandon Marshall
will have to work hard to find room; and the Bears are pretty
one-dimensional out wide.
With everyone smashing into the home team, I'll oppose the herd and
put my faith in Lynch dialling it up to 'beast mode' and TAKE (sorry) the points
in what may be a low scoring affair.
Pick: Seattle Seahawks +3 @ 1.95
Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 7.5
Pick: Anytime TD Golden Tate @ 2.65; Chicago DST @ 3.75
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