Sunday 6 January 2013

Live NFL - Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins Sky Sports 9.30pm

NEVER cap your own team. Difficult to avoid that here! I'm already planning my trip to follow Washington all the way to New Orleans, but alas, it may be that the dream dies tonight.
 

The Seahawks are very tough on defense and even though Griffin's 102.4 passer rating is the highest ever by a rookie (and the third-best in the NFL this year) he'll find the going rough tonight. The Seattle front held both Arizona RBs and San Francisco RBs to fewer than 65 total yards, with no scores, and the outstanding rookie Alfred Morris has to get rolling to set up RGIII; without that option, Washington lose a good deal on offense. Brandon Browner is back in the Seattle secondary and that will further complicate matters for the home team.
 

On the other side of the ball, Russell Wilson has improved steadily as the season has gone on and is fast approaching the sort of level that'll see him in the company of RGIII and Andrew Luck. This presents a number of problems for Washington who have a mediocre pass rush and are vulnerable deep. The Seahawks' offense goes through Marshawn Lynch and again, it's a troubling matchup for a Washington front seven that is not a great run stopping unit. I expect Lynch to have a big game.
 

Washington will need some magic from RGIII and Alfred Morris, their receivers to make some plays and the defense to really step up - all in the face of unfavourable matchups. I hope they do, but my money is elsewhere.

Pick: Seattle Seahawks -3 @ 2

Pick: 1st TD Marshawn Lynch @ 6
Pick: Anytime TD RGIII @ 4

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