The Reds at the Bucs doesn't exactly inspire, mainly because these are a couple of awkward pitchers to size up with confidence.
Mike Leake has been poor and posts 1.66/7.47 WHIP/ERA L3 (and his home splits aren't any better) but he has a 2.65 ERA lifetime against the Pirates, including 4QS out of 6 starts where he was shaded by a run to take the loss in three of those appearances.
James McDonald certainly has the better numbers this season (0.91/2.41 L3) but Pittsburgh are weak at the plate and it's difficult to rely on a lot of run support tonight.
However, the home team are hitting a collective .290 against Leake, whereas the Reds have a .269 line against McDonald, so I'll roll with Pirates and hope they get a few runs home to help their guy.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates @ 20/21; 1.95; -105
Mike Leake has been poor and posts 1.66/7.47 WHIP/ERA L3 (and his home splits aren't any better) but he has a 2.65 ERA lifetime against the Pirates, including 4QS out of 6 starts where he was shaded by a run to take the loss in three of those appearances.
James McDonald certainly has the better numbers this season (0.91/2.41 L3) but Pittsburgh are weak at the plate and it's difficult to rely on a lot of run support tonight.
However, the home team are hitting a collective .290 against Leake, whereas the Reds have a .269 line against McDonald, so I'll roll with Pirates and hope they get a few runs home to help their guy.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates @ 20/21; 1.95; -105
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