Tuesday 15 May 2012

MLB - Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels ESPN 12am

An example of the perils of totals betting in the early game; the wind changed against us on a hot day and bang - four homers, nine runs and catastrophe! Keep a sharp eye on the weather.

This is an interesting match up; Santana has the better numbers L3, but the Angels are struggling to get runs home and the pitchers' splits reveal that, on the road, Colon has a 0.92/1.59 WHIP/ERA line and Santana has a 1.11/5.23 WHIP/ERA.

Also, Santana has struggled lately with the A's and Colon has beaten him already this season. A former Angel, Colon is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA over five starts against his old team and looks the value here.

Pick: Oakland As @ 29/20; 2.45; 145

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