Monday 7 May 2012

MLB - New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies ESPN 12am

When I see a Totals line at 6.5, I go Under ... usually. However, although Halladay is a bona fide ace and Niese has good stuff, their numbers on the season are poor.

The line is a combination of factors; these two have outstanding records against tonight's opposition. Halladay is 7-0 with a 1.68 ERA against the Mets since joining the Phillies in 2010. Niese has won three of his last four starts against the Phillies with a 3.38 ERA, allowing one or no earned runs in each of the victories.

Add in 67 degrees, overcast and stormy and the line has been forced down.

I'm going to give more weight to 1.31/5.62 WHIP/ERA and 1.50/6.05 Niese/Halladay L3 and go Over.

Pick: Over 6.5 @ Evens; 2.00; 100

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