Monday 23 September 2013

Live NFL - Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos 1.40am Eurosport

Denver will likely jump out into a lead early, given their juggernaut offense (all the usual subjects should figure) but I really hate laying double digits, even to the SB champs in waiting.

It's not like the Raider defense is useless, with Charles Woodson, Tracy Porter and Mike Jenkins back there, and Ryan Clady missing at left tackle for Denver. Terrelle Pryor looks as though he may have suddenly realised where he is, but he has talent and Von Miller is still out and Champ Bailey is banged up at best.

So, my ideal scenario? Denver take a lead and adopt a soft defense as they have in the first two games, giving up yards and points in garbage time to allow Oakland to cover late in the game ... or the Raiders stay close enough to cover. 

Of course, the Broncos might just blow the visitors' doors off, but that's just rude.

Pick: Oakland Raiders +14.5 @ 1.95 (9-6, +2.58)
Pick: Over 48.5 @ 1.95 (3-3. -0.27)

Pick: 1st TD Eric Decker @ 15 (3-12, +19)
Pick: Anytime TD Julius Thomas @ 2.25; Knowshon Moreno @ 2.1 (5-11, -2.52)

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