Saturday 28 April 2012

MLB - Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies ESPN 12am

With neither team pulling up trees, I certainly can't have the Phillies at 1.6+, and the Cubs aren't filling me with joy either.

Both of these pitchers reflect their team's early problems and the stats show that they're putting too many people on with a WHIP of 2.20/1.32 for Randy Wells and Joe Blanton. While, fairly obviously, these offenses aren't rolling, the Phillies are hitting .299 L5 (.304 vs Wells) and the Cubs are hitting .309 lifetime against Blanton.

Neither bullpen has done well L3 and with a breeze out to centre forecast at Citizens Bank Park, Overs looks the value.

Pick: Over 8.5 @ 11/10; 2.1; 110

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