Monday 16 April 2012

MLB - MinnesotaTwins at New York Yankees ESPN 12am

The Twins' and the Yanks' starters are both giving up runs, with team ERA's north of 4.00. These two starters are a case in point and both of them have struggled so far with ERA's of nearly 6.00.

Given that it's Yankee Stadium, the OU line is out at 10.5, but if we look at the splits against lineup, the Bombers are hitting .215 against Pavano (and he'll want to put in a good performance given his history in the Bronx) and although the Twins are hitting .302 against Garcia, they've only scored above 3 runs twice this season.

The Yankees should take this and given the relative state of the bullpens, I'll take the runline in case there is an avalanche of runs.
 
Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 @ 11/10; 2.1; 110
Pick: Under 10.5 @ 10/11; 1.91; -110

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