The Angels are stinking it up at the moment; it won't last, but they're really struggling to get going and are on an ugly four game losing streak. They need their offense (particularly Pujols) to click and their bullpen to produce.
The batting averages and runs scored are a case in point; the Angels are batting 13 points better than the Tribe, but have scored ten runs less. Similarly, the Angels' bullpen has a 1.38/5.57 WHIP/ERA line compared to Cleveland's 1.16/2.42 L3.
Jered Weaver is 4-0 with a 2.01 ERA in six starts at Progressive Field and has carried his excellent form from last year over into this season. Justin Masterson has been poor (1.62/6.65) but seems solid at home (0.92/2.77) and as I can't have the Angels at the price, I'll bet the home dog on the basis that losing teams find ways to lose.
This looks a solid Unders bet too, but again, the price is just too short, so I'll look for a little value and go Over.
Pick: Cleveland Indians @ 141/100; 2.41; 141The batting averages and runs scored are a case in point; the Angels are batting 13 points better than the Tribe, but have scored ten runs less. Similarly, the Angels' bullpen has a 1.38/5.57 WHIP/ERA line compared to Cleveland's 1.16/2.42 L3.
Jered Weaver is 4-0 with a 2.01 ERA in six starts at Progressive Field and has carried his excellent form from last year over into this season. Justin Masterson has been poor (1.62/6.65) but seems solid at home (0.92/2.77) and as I can't have the Angels at the price, I'll bet the home dog on the basis that losing teams find ways to lose.
This looks a solid Unders bet too, but again, the price is just too short, so I'll look for a little value and go Over.
Pick: Over 7.5 @ 11/10; 2.1; 110
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