Saturday 7 April 2012

MLB - Atlanta Braves at New York Mets ESPN 6pm

The poor old Mets - I've always had a soft spot for them and saw them occasionally at the old Shea when I was in town, but things are tough after Madoff met Wilpon. There's no money, players have left, Major League Baseball is keeping an eye on the situation and there's not much fun to be had at Citi Field these days.

The Metropolitans saw off the 'offense-lite' Braves in the first game of this series, but the 1.9+ on offer for Atlanta looks too attractive to swerve here. Dickey is up for the home team and like all knuckleballers, it's feast or famine. If the wind is behind and the weather fair, he can be tough, but Dickey is a notoriously slow starter and could be vulnerable this afternoon.

Jair Jurrjens has good stuff and carries a 2.94 ERA in 13 starts against New York into this game. The Braves' hitters may find a little power and so Atlanta look the bet.

I'd be tempted by the Unders, too, but the Mets have radically altered the fences in the off-season to make Citi Field more hitter friendly, so I'll leave it and see how the 'new' park plays.

Pick: Atlanta Braves @ 10/11; 1.91; -110

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