Thursday 26 April 2012

MLB - Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles ESPN 12am

One team that seems to be turning in its usual early season good form (only to tank halfway through May) and the other that isn't living up to its pre-season sleeper hype.

What is particularly striking in tonight's game are the horrible numbers of the two pitchers; Drew Hutchison is 1-0, but has a 2.06/8.44 WHIP/ERA and Brian Matusz is 0-3, 2.25/7.98. That makes picking the winner awkward, because one or both of these guys could implode spectacularly against two decent enough offenses.

On balance, the value here is probably to go Over, with the pitcher, park and umpire numbers seemingly in our favour.
 
Pick: Over 9 @ 10/11; 1.91; -110

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