Live NFL - Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears 6pm Sky Sports

Naturally, Washington blew a big lead and my dazzling run goes on ...

Stafford to Megatron. Da Bears have actually covered Calvin Johnson pretty well in the past, but he's, well, megatron and the home team's secondary has struggled. The other problem for Chicago is their defensive front, which seems to have collapsed against the run. I expect to see lots of Bush (great stuff) and Bell. The Bears' pass rush looked much better last week, but the Lions don't give up many sacks, so Stafford should stay clean.

Cutler is back under center and it'll be interesting to see how comfortable he is; he's helped by the excellent protection afforded him by his offensive line and two outstanding wideouts whose size and strength will test Detroit's inconsistent corners. The Lions are susceptible to the big play downfield, so fans of the exotics might fancy a dabble.

This should be a good game, but I'll take the road team to just edge it.

Pick: Detroit Lions +1 @ 1,91

Pick: 1st TD Reggie Bush @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Alshon Jeffrey @ 2.62

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ATS (21-24, -2.39)
Totals (8-8, -0.40)

1st TD (8-27, +35.5)
Anytime TD (25-44, -4.91)

(+27.8)