Thursday 28 November 2013

Live NFL - Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions 5.30pm Sky Sports

Gobble gobble. Happy Thanksgiving to my thousands of American readers; happy Thursday to the rest of you working schmoes.

This game looks trappy: Detroit never wins on Thanksgiving, but there's no denying Rodgers' loss has gutted Green Bay and Megatron should go bonkers against a defense that can't stop anything through the air. Similarly, Reggie Bush has a chance to come off the bench and take advantage of a porous Packers' run D.

Eddie Lacy has stepped up after the loss of Rodgers, but it'll be tougher against the Lions who have become a nightmare to run on recently. However, the Lions' secondary is a mess; banged up and lacking talent, Matt Flynn should be able to find his receivers. Flynn isn't likely to hit 80 yard plays (watch it happen!) but he'll have lots of three wide sets to pick on a weak pass D.

I like Green Bay's chances more with Flynn under centre, but if Detroit can eliminate the mistakes that have cost them dear lately, they should be a TD better.

Pick: Detroit -6 @ 1.95

Pick: 1st TD Calvin Johnson @ 7
Pick: Anytime TD Jarrett Boykin @ 3.3

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