Sunday 3 November 2013

Live NFL - New Orleans Saints at New York Jets 6pm Sky Sports

The Saints like to take the ball away (+8 differential) and the Jets like to give it away (-12)

The Jets get beaten deep, a lot, and Drew Brees leads the NFL in 20+ yard passes downfield.

Rob Ryan has transformed the Saints' defense and now, while the Saints score a lot (28.0 points per game) they're also among the best in terms of points allowed (17.1)

Brees will be challenged (if the Saints ever sort that interior offensive line they'll be golden) and New York can stop the run, but the New Orleans QB is just too good - if Andy Dalton can shred the Jets' secondary, Drew Brees can put up better than a TD advantage.

Pick: New Orleans Saints -6 @ 1.91*

Pick: 1st TD Jimmy Graham @ 8.5
Pick: Anytime TD Kenny Stills @ 3.1

 *A Saints/Raiders double looks attractive.

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