Sunday 24 November 2013

Live NFL - New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens 6pm Sky Sports

Two teams that always fool me. 

Joe Flacco is hideously unpredictable (six-years, $120 million lol) and Geno Smith is beginning to look, well, just hideous.

Last week Smith threw three picks and completed just eight passes. It's not as if he has much to throw to, but still, it was horrible: Dean Pees will send everything. Chris Ivory figures to see a ton of the ball, but it shouldn't be enough against a decent Ravens stop unit. Look for Powell close in.

Flacco will also come under pressure behind a weak interior OL facing an inexperienced but eager pass rush from the Jets, led by Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson . Deeper, ex-Raven Ed Reed is attempting to shore up a pass D liable to giving up big plays and again, there's not a ton of options for Flacco beyond Torrey Smith, who will draw Cromartie, but at least it's a beatable matchup - if Flacco can hit him. Ray Rice finally woke up last week, but the Jets rank 1st against the run: no team has gone over 90 yards against New York on the ground this season.

It may be a turnover-laden, horror show, but I'll take the Ravens, if I must, on the basis that Flacco should be able to get it done if Baltimore are serious about progressing.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens -3 @ 1.83

Pick: 1st TD  Bilal Powell @ 17
Pick: Anytime TD Torrey Smith @ 2.6
Pick: Total Turnovers Over 6 @ 4.75

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