Tuesday 11 October 2011

MLB - Texas at Detroit

Wednesday October 12th 12.30am
ESPN America

Starting Pitchers
Texas: Lewis (15-10, 4.32 ERA)
Detroit: Fister (12-14, 2.99 ERA)

The Tigers better get things together, fast. Last night’s loss is a body blow, but if anyone can right the ship, it’s Fister, even after the first walkoff grand slam in postseason history.

With a 9-2 record and a 2.25 ERA overall since coming to the Tigers, Fister is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA in two starts versus Texas and 4-0 with a 0.98 ERA in five home starts.

Lewis has been strong historically in the post-season (4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in five postseason starts) but has been knocked about by Detroit this term, going 0-1 with a 15.95 ERA in two starts.

This Texas lineup is hitting a collective .268 against Fister, and Detroit is hitting .340 against Lewis.

The Tigers are a bit skinny here, although I like them tonight. Given the numbers, and that it’s Comerica Park and Jim Wolf is behind home plate, I’ll take a small interest in the Overs.

The gambling gods smiled on us at the weekend, so we’ll have a little fun on this game.

It’s not a big betting game, but Lewis has been prone to the long ball this season (35 homers in the regular season, the second most in baseball) and the Tigers have taken him deep four times in one game. Let’s see if they can again.

Pick: Over 8.5 @1.91; -110; 10/11
Pick: Detroit 1st team to homer @ 2.55; 154; 17/11

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