Monday 24 October 2011

NFL - Indianapolis (0-6) at New Orleans (4-2)

Ch4, Monday October 24th, 1.30am

Another blow-out ATS bear trap.

To beat the spread, you need a team that’ll beat its brains in to stay two TDs ahead when they’re in control – the surest way to lose money.

Still, how can the lost boys of Indianapolis possibly stay with the Saints? The consensus seems to be attacking them on the ground, but the Saints have been solid against the run recently, and it’s not as if the Colts’ O line is creating great lanes.  As it is, although Addai looks as though he may suit up, he’s carrying a limiting injury.

Painter has been ok, and I don’t mean that as a put down, he’s a distance ahead of Kerry Collins, but he’ll need to deal with a Saints’ defense that, although it doesn’t rush the passer particularly well, will bring lots of pressure.

Drew Brees should have his way with the Colts deep; he has lots of weapons, particularly with Colston getting fit and Indianapolis is suffering badly with injuries in the secondary.

Giving all these points is killing me, so yet again, keep stakes low, but given the Bucs’ loss, New Orleans has a chance to make important strides in the NFC South and they should blow the doors off Indy here.

Pick: Saints -13.5 @ 1.91; -110; 10/11

Pick: 1st TD Marcus Colston @ 11; 1000; 1o/1
Pick: Anytime TD Marcus Colston @ 2.2; 120; 6/5

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