Friday 28 October 2011

MLB – Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals - Game 7


Saturday October 29th 1am
ESPN America

Starting Pitchers
Texas: Harrison (0-1, 7.36 ERA)
St. Louis: Carpenter (1-0, 2.77 ERA)

Where to go here? I’m not sure the standard analysis by the numbers has any relevance after last night’s astonishing game – I’m going instead with the NL advantage. If ever a game was designed for National League ‘small ball’; this is it.

Still, the tale of the tape? Carpenter doesn’t do well on three day’s rest, whereas Harrison has been poor down the stretch and into the post-season. The Cards must be surging and Texas are surely wondering what on earth they have to do to win it all.

Paddy Power go 1.83 St. Louis and that looks tempting; consider this, ‘The home team has won the last 8 World Series Game 7s. The last road team to win a World Series Game 7 was the Pirates over the Orioles in 1979.’ Damn them.

Don’t smash in at the price, Harrison is that pesky leftie in the ointment. Instead, and strictly to add more excitement (as if that were possible) take last night’s hero to do the unthinkable and homer during this deciding game.

Pick: Cardinals @ 1.83; -120; 5/6
Pick: David Freese to homer at anytime @ 9.5; 8500; 17/2

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